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AUD/USD: 12-month forecast raised to 0.78 from 0.77 - Rabobank
FXStreet reports that optimism regarding the reflection trade should be broadly supportive of the AUD but the RBA’s QE policy and trade tensions between Australia and China may keep a lid on upside potential. All in all, economists at Rabobank have raised their 12-month forecast to 0.78 for the AUD/USD pair.
“For now we expect that policy settings will remain extremely accommodative. While the reflation trade should keep AUD/USD well supported, RBA policy combined with the fear of trade tensions with China could keep a lid on further gains for AUD/USD.”
“We have revised up our 12-month target a touch to 0.78 from 0.77.”
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Market focus
- U.S. retail sales unexpectedly decline in December
- U.S. consumer sentiment index decreases more than anticipated in early January
- Key events for next week: China GDP, eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment index, UK, Canada and New Zealand CPI, Bank of Canada, ECB and Bank of Japan interest rate decisions, Australian unemployment rate, Eurozone, UK and US PMIs
- U.S. industrial production grows much more than forecast in December
Forex is open 24 hours a day, 5 days a week (except national holidays), and it can be broken up to the following four regional markets: Australia and Oceania, Asia, Europe, and America. A Forex trading session opens at 23:00 GMT on Sunday in Japan and closes at 22:00 GMT on Friday in the USA.
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | Wellington | 19:00 | 04:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 |
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| Pacific | Sydney | 21:00 | 06:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| Asian | Tokyo | 23:00 | 08:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 |
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| Asian | Hong Kong, Singapore | 00:00 | 09:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| European | 06:00 | 15:00 | 09:00 | 18:00 | 9:00 | 18:00 | |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| European | London | 07:00 | 16:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| American | New York | 12:00 | 21:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 |
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| American | Chicago | 13:00 | 22:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 |
