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14.01.2021 21:06
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: PEPP continued to be more efficient than a rate cut in current pandemic conditions characterised by high uncertainty
The ECB
released account of its 9-10 December 2020 monetary policy meeting. It noted
that:
- Incoming data and the Eurosystem staff projections suggested more pronounced near-term impact of the pandemic on economic activity and inflation than previously envisaged;
- Market sentiment had improved notably following the news of successful development of vaccines and on account of expected monetary policy measures;
- It was cautioned that uncertainty remained high and positive sentiment could erode quickly in the event of negative news;
- It was widely considered an appropriate and proportional response to prevailing type of shock to increase horizon of net purchases under PEPP until March 2022, extend reinvestments of principal payments from maturing securities purchased under PEPP until the end of 2023, and to add more TLTRO III operations, extending the pandemic-related low interest rate period to June 2022;
- It was agreed that proposed longer horizon of PEPP and TLTRO III was broadly in line with expected duration of the pandemic crisis, continued uncertainty about roll-out of vaccines, and expected return of economic activity to its pre-pandemic level;
- It was also agreed that, on balance, benefits of PEPP purchases and the TLTRO III outweighed the potential costs;
- A more moderate increase in PEPP envelope was advocated by number of members; however, some arguments were also made in favour of larger envelope;
- Concerns were voiced over risks related to developments in exchange rate that might have negative consequences for inflation outlook
14.01.2021 21:17
AUD/USD: 12-month forecast raised to 0.78 from 0.77 - Rabobank
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Market focus
- U.S. retail sales unexpectedly decline in December
- U.S. consumer sentiment index decreases more than anticipated in early January
- Key events for next week: China GDP, eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment index, UK, Canada and New Zealand CPI, Bank of Canada, ECB and Bank of Japan interest rate decisions, Australian unemployment rate, Eurozone, UK and US PMIs
- U.S. industrial production grows much more than forecast in December
Forex is open 24 hours a day, 5 days a week (except national holidays), and it can be broken up to the following four regional markets: Australia and Oceania, Asia, Europe, and America. A Forex trading session opens at 23:00 GMT on Sunday in Japan and closes at 22:00 GMT on Friday in the USA.
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
EET OpenClose |
Local Time OpenClose |
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Pacific | Wellington | 19:00 | 04:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Pacific | Sydney | 21:00 | 06:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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Asian | Tokyo | 23:00 | 08:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Asian | Hong Kong, Singapore | 00:00 | 09:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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European | 06:00 | 15:00 | 09:00 | 18:00 | 9:00 | 18:00 | |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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European | London | 07:00 | 16:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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American | New York | 12:00 | 21:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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American | Chicago | 13:00 | 22:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 |