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USD/CAD to move towards 1.2550 over the next three months - Credit Suisse
FXStreet notes that the Canadian dollar closed 2020 near a three-year high versus the US dollar. Drivers of medium-term strength remain in place but analysts at Credit Suisse prefer to sell USD/CAD rallies for now.
“Over the next three months, we continue to see potential for USD/CAD to move towards our 1.2550 target, as the fundamental drivers of strength remain in place. High fiscal support to the growth outlook from the Trudeau administration.”
“The tactical outlook is not very attractive, due to the recent strength in the Canadian oil sector is the product of pipeline construction progress, and the stance on key projects of incoming US administration is yet unknown. COVID-19 infection surge in December drives risk of dovish policy surprise from BoC at upcoming 20 January meeting. This leaves us for the time being more willing to sell rallies in USD/CAD to 1.2900, than to engage immediately with USD/CAD downside.”
Switzerland extends coronavirus restrictions to end of February
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Market focus
- U.S. retail sales unexpectedly decline in December
- U.S. consumer sentiment index decreases more than anticipated in early January
- Key events for next week: China GDP, eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment index, UK, Canada and New Zealand CPI, Bank of Canada, ECB and Bank of Japan interest rate decisions, Australian unemployment rate, Eurozone, UK and US PMIs
- U.S. industrial production grows much more than forecast in December
Forex is open 24 hours a day, 5 days a week (except national holidays), and it can be broken up to the following four regional markets: Australia and Oceania, Asia, Europe, and America. A Forex trading session opens at 23:00 GMT on Sunday in Japan and closes at 22:00 GMT on Friday in the USA.
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | Wellington | 19:00 | 04:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 |
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| Pacific | Sydney | 21:00 | 06:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| Asian | Tokyo | 23:00 | 08:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| Asian | Hong Kong, Singapore | 00:00 | 09:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 |
| Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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| European | 06:00 | 15:00 | 09:00 | 18:00 | 9:00 | 18:00 | |
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| European | London | 07:00 | 16:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 |
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| American | New York | 12:00 | 21:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 |
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| American | Chicago | 13:00 | 22:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 |
